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Dr. Paul Scanlon
Assistant Professor, Economics

Publications and Further Research Outputs

Peer-Reviewed Publications

Paul Scanlon, A Model of Greedflation, Economics Letters, 234, 2024 Journal Article, 2024 DOI

Paul Scanlon, Profits and Inflation Data, 1, Mendeley, 2023 Dataset, 2023 URL

Paul Scanlon, Metrics on Factor Income Risk: 1900-2000, 1, Elsevier, 2020 Dataset, 2020 URL

Scanlon P., Aggregate risk and wage dispersion, Economics Letters, 194, 2020 Journal Article, 2020 DOI

Paul Scanlon, New Goods and Asset Prices, Journal of Financial Economics, 132, (3), 2019, p140 - 157 Journal Article, 2019

The Manchester School, 81, S1, (2013), 1 - 124p, George Bratsiotis, Michael Wycherley, Paul Scanlon, [eds.], 2012-13 Journal, 2013

Non-Peer-Reviewed Publications

Paul Scanlon, The Societal Impact of License Plate Formats, 2024 Working Paper, 2024

Paul Scanlon, Historical Data on Consumption Components and Labour Hours, 1, Trinity College Dublin, 2023 Dataset, 2023 URL

Paul Scanlon, A Comparison of Betting Odds, 2011-2022: France and UK, 1, TCD, 2022 Dataset, 2022 URL

Paul Scanlon, Labor Trends: New Evidence from Patent Data, 2022 Working Paper, 2022

Paul Scanlon, Iphone Introductions and Labour Hours: A Natural Experiment, 2019 Working Paper, 2019

Paul Scanlon, Wage Inequality, Risk, and the Financial Sector, 2019 Working Paper, 2019

Paul Scanlon, Can Dynamic Goods Explain Asset Returns?, 2013 Working Paper, 2013 URL

Paul Scanlon, Price Stability and Endogenous Productivity, 2012 Working Paper, 2012 URL

Paul Scanlon, Home Bias and Prediction Markets: Evidence from the Racetrack, 2011 Working Paper, 2011

Paul Scanlon, New Goods and International Risk Sharing, 2009 Working Paper, 2009

Paul Scanlon, New Goods and Long-Run Trends in Labour Supply, 2008 Working Paper, 2008

Research Expertise

Description

My primary research focus lies in the area of macroeconomics and finance. The central theme pervading my work is the question of how the introduction of new goods affects individual decision-making, and how those decisions affect the macroeconomy. Specifically, a large component of my research addresses the questions of how new goods affect i) labour supply and ii) the decisions to consume and save. While these may seem natural questions, standard economic models focus on a single good, and abstract from the effects of new goods. As a result, current economic indicators of progress omit or fail to quantify an important aspect of economic progress. In contrast to the past, economic progress today is largely marked by the introduction of new goods, and not increasing quantities of the same goods. Incorporating new goods into standard models and price indices and examining the associated ramifications is technically challenging. Yet it opens up a broad and increasingly relevant research agenda. Significantly, my research shows that this modification of standard models leads to starkly different predictions to standard models. Moreover, the idea has broad applicability to economic dynamics and for examining incentives to work and save. As a result, I believe this work is seminal and makes a substantive contribution to the field. Moreover, since part of the work addresses longstanding puzzles in the field, I believe it has the potential to ultimately gain considerable traction. One of my publications in this area is in one of leading journals in the field of finance and I believe this validates the importance of my work. More recently, I have become interested in the sustainability of consumption behaviour across economies and how the pursuit of new products can frustrate the transition to a net zero economy.

Keywords

Macroeconomics, open economy, international

Recognition

Representations

Referee, Economic and Social Review

Referee, Scottish Journal of Political Economy

External Member, Hiring Committee, UCD School of Economics 2024-2025

Discussant, Central Bank of Ireland Conference, "Macro-finance and financial stability policies" 5 December 2024

Panellist, public lecture on "The US Presidential Election" 29/9/16

Awards and Honours

Cheit Teaching Award, UC Berkeley 2006

Fellowship, UC Berkeley 2004

Fellowship, Yale Unversity 2001

Memberships

Irish Economic Association 2010 – present

American Finance Association 2009 – present

American Economic Association 2009 – present

European Finance Association 2014 – present