Structural Change and Long-Term Unemployment in Ireland
JEL Classification J10
Eric A. Strobl and Patrick P. Walsh
Department of Economics, Trinity College, Dublin 2, Ireland
Abstract
In this paper we investigate the build-up in male long-term
unemployment by allowing for heterogeneity both in the unemployment inflow and
conditional survival rates. We construct semi-annual series of the male flows
into and out of the Irish Live Register for the period 1967 to 1995 and develop
a methodology that allows us to decompose the unemployment inflow by age and
unemployment scheme and the unemployment outflow by duration of spell, age and
unemployment scheme. Our results in conjunction with other evidence indicate
that it was heterogeneity in the unemployment inflow caused by the changing
occupational structure of employment over the 1980s that caused the build-up and
persistance of male long-term unemployment in Ireland.
Acknowledgements
The research is part of a project on "Who are the
Unemployed in Ireland?" funded by the Royal Irish Academy, Social Science
Research Council.